Pre-tourney Rankings
South Alabama
Sun Belt
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#202
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#178
Pace72.9#59
Improvement-0.4#186

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#260
Improvement-3.2#300

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#128
Improvement+2.8#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 109   @ Florida St. W 76-71 19%     1 - 0 +12.3 -0.3 +12.3
  Nov 19, 2012 166   Tennessee St. L 57-68 43%     1 - 1 -11.0 -18.2 +7.3
  Nov 20, 2012 308   Monmouth L 71-73 77%     1 - 2 -11.5 -12.1 +0.8
  Nov 21, 2012 191   @ Georgia St. L 73-75 35%     1 - 3 +0.0 +1.7 -1.8
  Nov 29, 2012 234   @ Florida Atlantic W 77-66 47%     2 - 3 1 - 0 +10.0 +3.5 +6.5
  Dec 01, 2012 187   @ Florida International W 79-68 35%     3 - 3 2 - 0 +13.1 +9.8 +3.6
  Dec 04, 2012 87   New Mexico St. L 52-58 34%     3 - 4 -3.6 -18.5 +14.9
  Dec 08, 2012 167   @ UAB L 78-92 31%     3 - 5 -10.8 +0.0 -9.3
  Dec 16, 2012 310   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-69 85%     4 - 5 -7.9 -6.5 -1.4
  Dec 22, 2012 223   Arkansas Little Rock W 77-62 68%     5 - 5 3 - 0 +8.3 +0.1 +7.7
  Dec 29, 2012 150   Arkansas St. L 54-63 52%     5 - 6 3 - 1 -11.5 -18.1 +6.9
  Jan 03, 2013 326   @ Louisiana Monroe W 77-72 75%     6 - 6 4 - 1 -3.8 -3.2 -0.8
  Jan 05, 2013 52   Middle Tennessee L 56-60 21%     6 - 7 4 - 2 +2.6 -4.6 +6.7
  Jan 10, 2013 233   @ Louisiana W 91-89 2OT 46%     7 - 7 5 - 2 +1.2 -6.2 +6.9
  Jan 12, 2013 261   @ North Texas L 56-66 53%     7 - 8 5 - 3 -12.5 -18.0 +5.6
  Jan 17, 2013 326   Louisiana Monroe W 71-56 89%     8 - 8 6 - 3 -0.3 -8.8 +8.7
  Jan 24, 2013 183   Western Kentucky W 65-57 59%     9 - 8 7 - 3 +3.8 -7.0 +11.3
  Jan 27, 2013 187   Florida International W 60-58 60%     10 - 8 8 - 3 -2.4 -12.9 +10.6
  Jan 31, 2013 150   @ Arkansas St. L 62-74 29%     10 - 9 8 - 4 -8.0 -11.2 +4.3
  Feb 02, 2013 223   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 70-66 44%     11 - 9 9 - 4 +3.8 -3.1 +6.8
  Feb 07, 2013 272   Troy W 65-62 78%     12 - 9 10 - 4 -6.9 -6.4 -0.2
  Feb 09, 2013 234   Florida Atlantic W 72-71 71%     13 - 9 11 - 4 -6.4 +2.1 -8.4
  Feb 14, 2013 233   Louisiana W 88-64 70%     14 - 9 12 - 4 +16.7 +8.7 +7.4
  Feb 21, 2013 52   @ Middle Tennessee L 50-85 9%     14 - 10 12 - 5 -21.9 -17.5 -2.3
  Feb 23, 2013 261   North Texas W 69-57 75%     15 - 10 13 - 5 +3.0 -9.7 +12.2
  Feb 28, 2013 183   @ Western Kentucky L 73-79 34%     15 - 11 13 - 6 -3.7 -0.1 -3.5
  Mar 02, 2013 272   @ Troy W 53-49 56%     16 - 11 14 - 6 +0.5 -16.5 +17.5
  Mar 09, 2013 183   Western Kentucky L 59-62 46%     16 - 12 -3.9 -10.3 +6.1
Projected Record 16.0 - 12.0 14.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%